主动水雷攻击成功率试验考核方法研究

Research on the Test Method of Active Mine Hit Probability

摘要:

主动水雷作为水雷武器的一个重要分支，具有适用面广、打击范围大、单雷封锁效率高等优点。攻击成功率是衡量主动水雷作战效能的重要战技指标。为解决该项指标考核鉴定这一工程实际问题，在简要介绍主动水雷工作原理与攻击机制的基础上，对水雷的攻击成功率试验考核问题进行了系统剖析。创新性地提出分项试验考核方法，并根据作战态势与想定进行绘图分析，运用概率论与数理统计相关理论进行公式推导，建立了一套主动水雷攻击成功率的试验考核与评定方案。解决了水雷攻击成功率这一试验鉴定难题，为后续水雷战作战效能评估奠定了基础，也为后续改进型号试验鉴定工作提供了参考。本方案最终通过相关单位的一致认可，进行了工程实施，取得了理想的效果。

Abstract:

Directional attack mode is used by the mine which attacked predetermined area, so attack area in the sea surface was expanded. this paper first briefly introduces the working process of the active attack mine, the test statistical problem of mine hit probability are analyzed, the method which used separate tests to obtain mine's hit probability was proposed, by theoretical analysis and formula deduction, a set of statistical model of active attack mine's hit probability was built. This effort lays the foundation of underwater armament test and mine blocking efficacy analyzing for follow-up work.